Safe Co2

Dangerous CO2
Tipping Points for Climate Change PDF Print E-mail

 

The following excerpts are from Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?, published in the Open Atmosphere Science Journal by James Hansen et al in 2008.

4.1. Tipping points

Realization that today’s climate is far out of equilibrium with current climate forcings raises the specter of ‘tipping points’, the concept that climate can reach a point where, without additional forcing, rapid changes proceed practically out of our control.  Arctic sea ice and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet are examples of potential tipping points. Arctic sea ice loss is magnified by the positive feedback of increased absorption of sunlight as global warming initiates sea ice retreat.  West Antarctic ice loss can be accelerated by several feedbacks, once ice loss is substantial.

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'450' as a Likely Tipping Point PDF Print E-mail

 

The following excerpts are from Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?, published in the Open Atmosphere Science Journal by James Hansen et al in 2008. 

 

Excerpt:

A CO2 amount of order 450 ppm or larger, if long maintained, would push Earth toward the ice-free state. Although ocean and ice sheet inertia limit the rate of climate change, such a CO2 level likely would cause the passing of climate tipping points and initiate dynamic responses that could be out of humanity’s control. 

 

 
Amplification of Climate Danger PDF Print E-mail

 

"...the risks of dangerous climate change will not increase slowly as greenhouse gases increase. Rather, the risks will multiply if we do not reduce emissions fast enough."

Met Office  |  Scientific evidence for early action on climate change

 
UNFCCC | Article 2 | Objective PDF Print E-mail


ARTICLE 2:
OBJECTIVE

"The ultimate objective of this Convention and any related legal instruments that the Conference of the Parties may adopt is to achieve, in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Convention, stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a level should be achieved within a time-frame sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change, to ensure that food production is not threatened and to enable economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner."

 

CO2Now  |  UNFCCC Article 1 -- Definitions

UNFCCC  |  Article 2  

UNFCCC  |  Full Text of the Convention (Starting with Article 1)

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Current CO2 Is Dangerous PDF Print E-mail

 

The following excerpts are from Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?, published in the Open Atmosphere Science Journal by James Hansen et al in 2008.
 

Excerpts respecting 'dangerous CO2 concentrations': 

Civilization is adapted to climate zones of the Holocene. Theory and models indicate that subtropical regions expand poleward with global warming. Data reveal a 4-degree latitudinal shift already, larger than model predictions, yielding increased aridity in southern United States, the Mediterranean region, Australia and parts of Africa. Impacts of this climate shift support the conclusion that 385 ppm CO2 is already deleterious. 

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UNFCCC | Article 1 | Definitions PDF Print E-mail


ARTICLE 1:
Definitions 

For the purposes of this Convention:

1. "Adverse effects of climate change" means changes in the physical environment or biota resulting from climate change which have significant deleterious effects on the composition, resilience or productivity of natural and managed ecosystems or on the operation of socio-economic systems or on human health and welfare.

2. "Climate change" means a change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods.

3. "Climate system" means the totality of the atmosphere, hydrosphere, biosphere and geosphere and their interactions.

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